EN123 Fall 2004 Statistics Example: Probability of winning a baseball game | |||||||||||||
RPG probability for Tampa | |||||||||||||
0.0709 | 0.1269 | 0.1679 | 0.1742 | 0.1526 | 0.1173 | 0.0808 | 0.0506 | 0.0292 | |||||
TAMPA BAY | |||||||||||||
RPG | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||||
RPG | 0.0385 | 0 | 0.0027 | 0.0049 | 0.0065 | 0.0067 | 0.0059 | 0.0045 | 0.0031 | 0.0020 | 0.0011 | ||
prob | 0.0825 | 1 | 0.0058 | 0.0105 | 0.0138 | 0.0144 | 0.0126 | 0.0097 | 0.0067 | 0.0042 | 0.0024 | ||
for | 0.1270 | 2 | 0.0090 | 0.0161 | 0.0213 | 0.0221 | 0.0194 | 0.0149 | 0.0103 | 0.0064 | 0.0037 | ||
Sox | 0.1528 | 3 | 0.0108 | 0.0194 | 0.0257 | 0.0266 | 0.0233 | 0.0179 | 0.0123 | 0.0077 | 0.0045 | ||
0.1548 | RED SOX | 4 | 0.0110 | 0.0196 | 0.0260 | 0.0270 | 0.0236 | 0.0182 | 0.0125 | 0.0078 | 0.0045 | ||
0.1372 | 5 | 0.0097 | 0.0174 | 0.0230 | 0.0239 | 0.0209 | 0.0161 | 0.0111 | 0.0069 | 0.0040 | |||
0.1088 | 6 | 0.0077 | 0.0138 | 0.0183 | 0.0189 | 0.0166 | 0.0128 | 0.0088 | 0.0055 | 0.0032 | |||
0.0783 | 7 | 0.0056 | 0.0099 | 0.0132 | 0.0136 | 0.0120 | 0.0092 | 0.0063 | 0.0040 | 0.0023 | |||
0.0518 | 8 | 0.0037 | 0.0066 | 0.0087 | 0.0090 | 0.0079 | 0.0061 | 0.0042 | 0.0026 | 0.0015 | |||
Tampa wins: | 0.3169 | ||||||||||||
Extra innings: | 0.1151 | ||||||||||||
Red Sox win: | 0.4720 |