EN123 Fall 2004 Statistics Example: Probability of winning a baseball game 
RPG probability for Tampa
0.0709 0.1269 0.1679 0.1742 0.1526 0.1173 0.0808 0.0506 0.0292
TAMPA BAY
RPG  0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
RPG 0.0385 0 0.0027 0.0049 0.0065 0.0067 0.0059 0.0045 0.0031 0.0020 0.0011
prob 0.0825 1 0.0058 0.0105 0.0138 0.0144 0.0126 0.0097 0.0067 0.0042 0.0024
for 0.1270 2 0.0090 0.0161 0.0213 0.0221 0.0194 0.0149 0.0103 0.0064 0.0037
Sox 0.1528 3 0.0108 0.0194 0.0257 0.0266 0.0233 0.0179 0.0123 0.0077 0.0045
0.1548 RED SOX 4 0.0110 0.0196 0.0260 0.0270 0.0236 0.0182 0.0125 0.0078 0.0045
0.1372 5 0.0097 0.0174 0.0230 0.0239 0.0209 0.0161 0.0111 0.0069 0.0040
0.1088 6 0.0077 0.0138 0.0183 0.0189 0.0166 0.0128 0.0088 0.0055 0.0032
0.0783 7 0.0056 0.0099 0.0132 0.0136 0.0120 0.0092 0.0063 0.0040 0.0023
0.0518 8 0.0037 0.0066 0.0087 0.0090 0.0079 0.0061 0.0042 0.0026 0.0015
Tampa wins: 0.3169
Extra innings: 0.1151
Red Sox win: 0.4720