Questions for Epidemiologist Brandon Marshall: Predicting outcomes of HIV efforts in NYC

Brandon Marshall

“It’s very difficult to test combinations of interventions in a controlled trial manner. ... Computer modeling is a very efficient way to get a prediction, or an estimate, of which combinations might be most effective.”

New York City continues to battle an HIV epidemic, including among drug users. There are many possible interventions. Researchers have developed a sophisticated predictive computer model to help policymakers figure out which interventions, or combinations of interventions, would have the most meaningful impact.