Abstract: In this talk, John will present portions of his dissertation research. First, he will present an “ideal” typology of two neighborhood aging patterns. In one pattern, neighborhood age structure is constant over time and, in the other, a neighborhood’s age distribution changes as if members of a cohort aged in place. He will use a series of models to classify a sample of 50,000 census tracts observed between 1970 and 2010 according to this typology. He will estimate an explanatory model of aging pattern as a function of social, spatial, economic and housing characteristics. Lastly, he will present a preliminary framework in which neighborhood aging patterns may be included in studies of racial segregation.

Bio: John Sullivan is a Postdoctoral Research Associate in Population Studies at Brown University. He recently completed a PhD in Sociology at UCLA. He is a social demographer who studies residential segregation and residential mobility. His current work explores the effects of Hurricane Katrina on the long-run mortality and migration of residents of New Orleans, historical trends in residential segregation by age and by race, and patterns of neighborhood aging. He also has begun a project to use federal administrative records to produce estimates of residential mobility.